AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Mar 30, 2024

Sparta Rotterdam

Home
VS
17:45

Fortuna Sittard

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Fortuna Sittard Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.04 - 2.41
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Sparta Rotterdam Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Sparta Ro… vs Ajax 2-2
Mar 09 Sparta Ro… vs FC Twente 2-1
Mar 02 Sparta Ro… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-1
Feb 24 Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen 2-0
Feb 24 Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen 2-0
Feb 17 Sparta Ro… vs Excelsior 4-2
Feb 11 Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord 2-0
Feb 11 Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord 2-0
Feb 04 Sparta Ro… vs Zwolle 0-2
Jan 27 Sparta Ro… vs Waalwijk 1-1
Fortuna Sittard Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Fortuna S… vs Telstar W… 0-8
Mar 16 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 3-1
Mar 16 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 3-1
Mar 10 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 2-2
Mar 10 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 2-2
Mar 09 Fortuna S… vs AZ 0-1
Mar 03 Fortuna S… vs Excelsior 5-2
Mar 02 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 3-0
Feb 24 Fortuna S… vs Waalwijk 0-1
Feb 17 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortuna Sittard in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Sparta Rotterdam struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Feb 03, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Oct 29, 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Apr 16, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 3 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Sep 12, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 13, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Jan 13, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sparta Rotterdam Power 0
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sparta Rotterdam Position

+6

Position Gap

11

Fortuna Sittard Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.