AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Jan 13, 2024

Fortuna Sittard

Home
VS
15:30

Sparta Rotterdam

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Fortuna Sittard Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sparta Rotterdam Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.22 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Fortuna Sittard Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 0-2
Dec 15 Fortuna S… vs Nijmegen 4-1
Dec 10 Fortuna S… vs Waalwijk 1-0
Dec 02 Fortuna S… vs Vitesse 3-1
Nov 25 Fortuna S… vs Heerenveen 3-0
Nov 10 Fortuna S… vs Heracles 4-1
Nov 05 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 2-0
Oct 21 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 3-1
Oct 01 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 4-0
Sep 22 Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … 3-0
Sparta Rotterdam Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Sparta Ro… vs ADO Den H… 2-0
Dec 17 Sparta Ro… vs FC Twente 2-2
Dec 09 Sparta Ro… vs Ajax 2-1
Dec 02 Sparta Ro… vs Heracles 0-1
Dec 02 Sparta Ro… vs Heracles 0-1
Nov 26 Sparta Ro… vs Utrecht 1-2
Nov 26 Sparta Ro… vs Utrecht 1-2
Nov 12 Sparta Ro… vs FC Volend… 1-4
Sep 01 Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen 1-1
Aug 27 Sparta Ro… vs Heerenveen 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortuna Sittard in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Oct 29, 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Apr 16, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 3 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Sep 12, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 13, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Jan 13, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Sparta Rotterdam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Fortuna Sittard Position

-6

Position Gap

5

Sparta Rotterdam Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.