AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 03, 2023

Fortuna Sittard

Home
VS
19:00

Sparta Rotterdam

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Fortuna Sittard Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Sparta Rotterdam Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.56 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Fortuna Sittard Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 3-1
Jan 15 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 2-2
Jan 07 Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … 0-2
Nov 13 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 2-3
Oct 29 Fortuna S… vs Sparta Ro… 3-1
Aug 06 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 2-3
Apr 24 Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … 1-0
Apr 16 Fortuna S… vs Sparta Ro… 3-0
Apr 03 Fortuna S… vs Heracles 0-2
Mar 20 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 5-0
Sparta Rotterdam Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen 1-1
Oct 29 Sparta Ro… vs Fortuna S… 3-1
Oct 23 Sparta Ro… vs Utrecht 3-1
Oct 16 Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen 2-0
Sep 17 Sparta Ro… vs Groningen 2-1
Sep 11 Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord 3-0
Sep 03 Sparta Ro… vs FC Volend… 4-0
Aug 05 Sparta Ro… vs Heerenveen 0-0
Jul 20 Sparta Ro… vs Willem II 0-2
Jul 15 Sparta Ro… vs Heracles 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Fortuna Sittard struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Apr 16, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 3 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Sep 12, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 13, 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Jan 13, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Sparta Rotterdam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Fortuna Sittard Position

-6

Position Gap

5

Sparta Rotterdam Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.