AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Oct 29, 2022
Sparta Rotterdam
HomeVS
16:45
Fortuna Sittard
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam Win
Draw
Fortuna Sittard Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
Combined: 63%
Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Sparta Rotterdam Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | Sparta Ro… vs Utrecht | 3-1 |
| Oct 16 | Sparta Ro… vs Nijmegen | 2-0 |
| Sep 17 | Sparta Ro… vs Groningen | 2-1 |
| Sep 11 | Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord | 3-0 |
| Sep 03 | Sparta Ro… vs FC Volend… | 4-0 |
| Aug 05 | Sparta Ro… vs Heerenveen | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Sparta Ro… vs Willem II | 0-2 |
| Jul 15 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 1-0 |
| May 15 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 1-3 |
| May 07 | Sparta Ro… vs Groningen | 1-2 |
Fortuna Sittard Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 06 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 2-3 |
| Apr 24 | Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Fortuna S… vs Sparta Ro… | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Fortuna S… vs Heracles | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 5-0 |
| Mar 06 | Fortuna S… vs Zwolle | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fortuna S… vs Groningen | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 5-0 |
| Dec 15 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Fortuna Sittard struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 1 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 2 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Sparta Rotterdam Power
0
Fortuna Sittard Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Sparta Rotterdam Position+6
Position Gap11
Fortuna Sittard Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.