AI Match Insights
Jupiler Pro League Sep 27, 2024
Charleroi
HomeVS
18:45
Cercle Brugge
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Charleroi Win
Draw
Cercle Brugge Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.13 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charleroi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Cercle Brugge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (21%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
Charleroi Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | Charleroi vs Anderlecht | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Charleroi vs Anderlecht | 0-0 |
| Sep 15 | Charleroi vs Beerschot… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Charleroi vs Mechelen | 5-2 |
| Aug 31 | Charleroi vs Mechelen | 5-2 |
| Aug 25 | Charleroi vs Kortrijk | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Charleroi vs St. Gillo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Charleroi vs Union Sai… | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | Charleroi vs Gent | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Charleroi vs St. Truid… | 1-4 |
Cercle Brugge Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-1 |
| Sep 26 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-1 |
| Sep 22 | Cercle Br… vs Mechelen | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-4 |
| Sep 22 | Cercle Br… vs Mechelen | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-4 |
| Sep 14 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Cercle Br… vs Gent | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Cercle Br… vs Kortrijk | 0-3 |
| Sep 01 | Cercle Br… vs Cercle Br… | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Cercle Brugge struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 09, 2024 | Charleroi | 0 - 0 | Cercle Brugge | Pro League |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Charleroi | 0 - 0 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Charleroi | 1 - 4 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Charleroi | 1 - 4 | Cercle Brugge | Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Cercle Brugge | 4 - 2 | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 0 | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 2 | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Charleroi | 2 - 1 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Cercle Brugge | 4 - 1 | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Charleroi | 1 - 3 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro Le… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Charleroi to win (45% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Charleroi Power
0
Cercle Brugge Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Charleroi Position+9
Position Gap15
Cercle Brugge Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.