AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Jan 27, 2024

Charleroi

Home
VS
19:45

Cercle Brugge

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Charleroi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cercle Brugge Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 41%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.92 - 2.56
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charleroi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cercle Brugge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Charleroi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Charleroi vs Antwerp 4-1
Jan 21 Charleroi vs Antwerp 4-1
Dec 27 Charleroi vs Mechelen 3-1
Dec 27 Charleroi vs Mechelen 3-1
Dec 23 Charleroi vs St. Truid… 1-0
Dec 23 Charleroi vs St. Truid… 1-0
Dec 16 Charleroi vs Standard … 0-0
Dec 16 Charleroi vs Standard … 0-0
Dec 10 Charleroi vs St. Gillo… 1-3
Dec 10 Charleroi vs Union Sai… 1-3
Cercle Brugge Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Cercle Br… vs Standard … 1-1
Jan 26 Cercle Br… vs Standard … 1-1
Jan 20 Cercle Br… vs Gent 1-1
Jan 20 Cercle Br… vs Westerlo 3-0
Jan 20 Cercle Br… vs Gent 1-1
Jan 16 Cercle Br… vs Gent 0-1
Dec 27 Cercle Br… vs Anderlecht 2-0
Dec 26 Cercle Br… vs St. Gillo… 1-1
Dec 22 Cercle Br… vs RWD Molen… 1-6
Dec 20 Cercle Br… vs Kortrijk 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Charleroi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 16, 2023 Cercle Brugge 4 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Aug 05, 2023 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 22, 2023 Cercle Brugge 2 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 15, 2023 Charleroi 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 21, 2022 Cercle Brugge 4 - 1 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Aug 26, 2022 Charleroi 1 - 3 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Mar 19, 2022 Charleroi 5 - 0 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 13, 2022 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 20, 2021 Cercle Brugge 1 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Sep 18, 2021 Charleroi 0 - 1 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Charleroi to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charleroi Power 0
Cercle Brugge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Charleroi Position

+9

Position Gap

15

Cercle Brugge Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.