AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Jan 20, 2024

Virtus

Home
VS
14:00

Tre Fiori

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tre Fiori Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.05 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Virtus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Virtus vs Tre Penne 1-2
Dec 17 Virtus vs Cailungo 3-0
Dec 09 Virtus vs Cosmos 3-0
Dec 06 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-2
Dec 02 Virtus vs Murata 2-0
Nov 26 Virtus vs Folgore 0-2
Nov 08 Virtus vs Domagnano 2-1
Nov 04 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-1
Oct 28 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Oct 03 Virtus vs Libertas 2-1
Tre Fiori Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-1
Dec 10 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-0
Nov 25 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Nov 11 Tre Fiori vs San Marin… 1-2
Nov 05 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 5-1
Oct 29 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 5-0
Oct 26 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 0-0
Oct 22 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 3-3
Oct 04 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 0-3
Sep 27 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tre Fiori in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Tre Fiori Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Virtus Position

+3

Position Gap

5

Tre Fiori Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.