AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Sep 16, 2023

Tre Fiori

Home
VS
13:00

Virtus

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Virtus Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 1.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Tre Fiori Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 1-1
Apr 29 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-1
Apr 23 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 0-2
Apr 16 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Apr 12 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 4-1
Mar 07 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-1
Mar 04 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 0-2
Feb 26 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 2-0
Feb 19 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 0-0
Jan 29 Tre Fiori vs Virtus 1-1
Virtus Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Virtus vs Tre Penne 0-2
May 27 Virtus vs Tre Penne 3-1
May 19 Virtus vs Libertas 1-2
May 13 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-1
May 03 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 29 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 23 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-3
Apr 06 Virtus vs Folgore 2-0
Apr 01 Virtus vs Cosmos 1-1
Mar 19 Virtus vs Murata 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Tre Fiori struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power 0
Virtus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Tre Fiori Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Virtus Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.