AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Jan 29, 2023

Tre Fiori

Home
VS
18:00

Virtus

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Virtus Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.69 - 1.71
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Tre Fiori Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 1-2
Jan 15 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 1-1
Jan 07 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Dec 18 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 0-1
Dec 14 Tre Fiori vs Virtus 3-1
Nov 05 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-1
Oct 15 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 0-1
Oct 08 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 1-2
Sep 04 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 4-0
Aug 30 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-2
Virtus Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Virtus vs Folgore 3-0
Jan 21 Virtus vs Domagnano 5-2
Jan 14 Virtus vs Pennarossa 0-1
Dec 14 Virtus vs Tre Fiori 3-1
Dec 03 Virtus vs Cosmos 0-0
Nov 27 Virtus vs Murata 1-2
Nov 13 Virtus vs Cailungo 1-3
Nov 05 Virtus vs Tre Penne 0-0
Oct 19 Virtus vs Cosmos 1-1
Oct 01 Virtus vs Libertas 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power 0
Virtus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Tre Fiori Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Virtus Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.