AI Match Insights

Challenge League Jan 24, 2025

Neuchâtel Xamax

Home
VS
18:30

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Neuchâtel Xamax Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 4.05 - 1.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.9
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Neuchâtel Xamax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Neuchâtel Xamax Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Nyo… 1-2
Dec 13 Neuchâtel… vs FC Aarau 1-3
Dec 06 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Nyo… 2-1
Nov 29 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Lau… 1-2
Nov 08 Neuchâtel… vs FC Vaduz 2-1
Oct 26 Neuchâtel… vs Bellinzona 0-2
Sep 23 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Nyo… 3-2
Aug 30 Neuchâtel… vs FC Vaduz 4-1
Aug 17 Neuchâtel… vs Biel-Bien… 2-1
Aug 09 Neuchâtel… vs Bellinzona 2-2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Stade Lau… vs Neuchâtel… 1-2
Nov 01 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 2-2
Oct 25 Stade Lau… vs Étoile Ca… 1-1
Oct 05 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Sep 27 Stade Lau… vs Étoile Ca… 5-1
Sep 20 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Aug 25 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Jul 19 Stade Lau… vs Neuchâtel… 3-2
Jun 29 Stade Lau… vs Étoile Ca… 2-3
May 21 Stade Lau… vs FC Luzern 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Neuchâtel Xamax struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 29, 2024 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1 - 2 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Jul 19, 2024 Neuchâtel Xamax 3 - 2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
May 05, 2023 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 0 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Apr 02, 2023 Neuchâtel Xamax 1 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Jan 11, 2023 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 2 Neuchâtel Xamax Friendlies Clu…
Nov 11, 2022 Neuchâtel Xamax 2 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Sep 03, 2022 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 1 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Neuchâtel Xamax Power 0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Neuchâtel Xamax Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.