AI Match Insights

Challenge League May 05, 2023

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Home
VS
16:30

Neuchâtel Xamax

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Neuchâtel Xamax Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 4.50 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Neuchâtel Xamax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 1-2
Apr 02 Stade Lau… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Mar 18 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 0-0
Feb 12 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 3-4
Feb 03 Stade Lau… vs Yverdon S… 1-0
Jan 11 Stade Lau… vs Neuchâtel… 2-2
Nov 26 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Nov 19 Stade Lau… vs Yverdon S… 5-0
Nov 11 Stade Lau… vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
Oct 19 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 1-5
Neuchâtel Xamax Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Neuchâtel… vs FC Aarau 5-2
Apr 07 Neuchâtel… vs Yverdon S… 2-0
Apr 02 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Lau… 1-1
Mar 12 Neuchâtel… vs Yverdon S… 1-2
Jan 20 Neuchâtel… vs Bulle 1-2
Jan 11 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Lau… 2-2
Nov 25 Neuchâtel… vs Yverdon S… 3-1
Nov 11 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
Sep 03 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
Aug 05 Neuchâtel… vs Yverdon S… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Neuchâtel Xamax struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2023 Neuchâtel Xamax 1 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Jan 11, 2023 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 2 Neuchâtel Xamax Friendlies Clu…
Nov 11, 2022 Neuchâtel Xamax 2 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Sep 03, 2022 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 1 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Power 0
Neuchâtel Xamax Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Neuchâtel Xamax Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.