AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Apr 15, 2023

Marsa

Home
VS
17:30

Vittoriosa Stars

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Marsa Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Vittoriosa Stars Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.38 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marsa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Vittoriosa Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Marsa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 2-1
Feb 25 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 3-0
Feb 12 Marsa vs Fgura Uni… 1-1
Jan 21 Marsa vs St. Andre… 0-2
Jan 07 Marsa vs St. Andre… 2-3
Dec 03 Marsa vs Vittorios… 3-0
Nov 15 Marsa vs Melita 2-3
Nov 07 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 2-0
Nov 01 Marsa vs Fgura Uni… 0-2
Oct 30 Marsa vs Melita 0-2
Vittoriosa Stars Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 3-1
Dec 16 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 2-0
Dec 03 Vittorios… vs Marsa 3-0
Feb 07 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 3-0
Jan 31 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 0-1
Oct 22 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 2-1
Oct 18 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marsa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Vittoriosa Stars struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2022 Vittoriosa Stars 3 - 0 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marsa Power 0
Vittoriosa Stars Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Marsa Position

-1

Position Gap

13

Vittoriosa Stars Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.