AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Dec 03, 2022

Vittoriosa Stars

Home
VS
17:00

Marsa

Away
AI Predictions 46.5% Confidence
Vittoriosa Stars Win
46.5%
Draw
24.7%
Marsa Win
28.8%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 47%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.11 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vittoriosa Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Marsa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Vittoriosa Stars Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 3-0
Jan 31 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 0-1
Oct 22 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 2-1
Oct 18 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 2-0
Marsa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Marsa vs Melita 2-3
Nov 07 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 2-0
Nov 01 Marsa vs Fgura Uni… 0-2
Oct 30 Marsa vs Melita 0-2
Oct 22 Marsa vs Zurrieq 1-0
Sep 10 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 2-1
Apr 09 Marsa vs Zebbug Ra… 1-3
Apr 01 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 2-1
Feb 27 Marsa vs Pietà Hot… 1-2
Feb 06 Marsa vs Mgarr Uni… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vittoriosa Stars struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Marsa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vittoriosa Stars Power 0
Marsa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Vittoriosa Stars Position

+1

Position Gap

14

Marsa Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.