AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Sep 09, 2023

Edinburgh City

Home
VS
14:00

East Kilbride

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Edinburgh City Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
East Kilbride Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.89 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Edinburgh City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
East Kilbride Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Edinburgh City Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Edinburgh… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Aug 05 Edinburgh… vs Stirling … 1-0
Jul 22 Edinburgh… vs Stranraer 2-1
Apr 15 Edinburgh… vs Clyde 2-1
Mar 11 Edinburgh… vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Feb 25 Edinburgh… vs Clyde 3-0
Jan 14 Edinburgh… vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Dec 03 Edinburgh… vs Clyde 0-2
Nov 19 Edinburgh… vs Alloa Ath… 4-3
Aug 27 Edinburgh… vs Clyde 2-0
East Kilbride Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 East Kilb… vs Stirling … 0-3
Aug 23 East Kilb… vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Jul 20 East Kilb… vs Clyde 2-2
Jul 17 East Kilb… vs Stranraer 1-0
Jun 22 East Kilb… vs Dumbarton 2-1
Dec 12 East Kilb… vs Spartans 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Edinburgh City struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Edinburgh City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Edinburgh City Power 0
East Kilbride Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.