AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 29, 2023

Dumbarton

Home
VS
18:45

Forfar Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 46.5% Confidence
Dumbarton Win
46.5%
Draw
24.7%
Forfar Athletic Win
28.8%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.30 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Forfar Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Dumbarton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 2-2
Mar 04 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 0-2
Feb 25 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 1-2
Jan 14 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 2-1
Nov 26 Dumbarton vs Clyde 1-3
Nov 19 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 2-2
Nov 12 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 0-4
Nov 05 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 2-0
Oct 08 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 6-0
Oct 01 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 0-0
Forfar Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 21 Forfar At… vs Stirling … 2-0
Jan 14 Forfar At… vs Dumbarton 2-1
Nov 19 Forfar At… vs Dumbarton 2-2
Oct 01 Forfar At… vs Dumbarton 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2023 Forfar Athletic 2 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Nov 19, 2022 Dumbarton 2 - 2 Forfar Athletic League Two
Oct 01, 2022 Forfar Athletic 0 - 0 Dumbarton League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dumbarton Power 0
Forfar Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Dumbarton Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Forfar Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.