AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First NL Mar 08, 2024

Sesvete

Home
VS
13:50

HNK Cibalia

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sesvete Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
HNK Cibalia Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.07 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sesvete Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
HNK Cibalia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Sesvete Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Sesvete vs Orijent 1… 1-0
Nov 03 Sesvete vs Croatia Z… 1-0
Oct 14 Sesvete vs HNK Cibal… 0-1
Oct 06 Sesvete vs Orijent 1… 1-1
Aug 20 Sesvete vs Croatia Z… 0-0
May 01 Sesvete vs Croatia Z… 2-2
Mar 11 Sesvete vs HNK Cibal… 1-1
Mar 05 Sesvete vs Orijent 1… 0-3
Oct 31 Sesvete vs Croatia Z… 1-0
Sep 15 Sesvete vs HNK Cibal… 0-1
HNK Cibalia Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 HNK Cibal… vs Bsk Bijel… 2-2
Oct 14 HNK Cibal… vs Sesvete 0-1
Mar 11 HNK Cibal… vs Sesvete 1-1
Feb 12 HNK Cibal… vs Opatija 2-1
Sep 15 HNK Cibal… vs Sesvete 0-1
Aug 14 HNK Cibal… vs Opatija 2-2
Apr 17 HNK Cibal… vs Sesvete 2-0
Mar 14 HNK Cibal… vs Opatija 2-0
Sep 15 HNK Cibal… vs Opatija 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Cibalia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 14, 2023 HNK Cibalia 0 - 1 Sesvete First NL
Mar 11, 2022 Sesvete 1 - 1 HNK Cibalia First NL
Sep 15, 2021 HNK Cibalia 0 - 1 Sesvete First NL
Apr 17, 2021 HNK Cibalia 2 - 0 Sesvete First NL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sesvete to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sesvete Power 0
HNK Cibalia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.