AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Apr 20, 2024

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home
VS
11:00

Sichuan Jiuniu

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sichuan Jiuniu Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.88 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chengdu Rongcheng Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sichuan Jiuniu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Chengdu Rongcheng Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Chengdu R… vs Sichuan J… 1-2
Sep 25 Chengdu R… vs Sichuan J… 2-1
Sep 09 Chengdu R… vs Sichuan J… 1-1
Sichuan Jiuniu Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Sichuan J… vs Chengdu R… 1-2
Sep 25 Sichuan J… vs Chengdu R… 2-1
Sep 09 Sichuan J… vs Chengdu R… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2021 Chengdu Rongcheng 1 - 2 Sichuan Jiuniu FA Cup
Sep 25, 2021 Chengdu Rongcheng 2 - 1 Sichuan Jiuniu League One
Sep 09, 2021 Sichuan Jiuniu 1 - 1 Chengdu Rongcheng League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chengdu Rongcheng to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chengdu Rongcheng Power 0
Sichuan Jiuniu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.