AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Oberliga - Bremen Apr 14, 2024

Hemelingen

Home
VS
11:00

Union Berlin

Away
AI Predictions 71.0% Confidence
Hemelingen Win
71.0%
Draw
19.8%
Union Berlin Win
9.2%
Home Win (71% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hemelingen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Union Berlin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Hemelingen Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 1-6
Oct 22 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 1-5
Oct 01 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 3-2
Sep 23 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 2-3
Apr 16 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 2-1
Mar 26 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 2-1
Feb 12 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 1-5
Nov 06 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 3-3
Oct 15 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 1-4
Sep 04 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 2-2
Union Berlin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Union Ber… vs FC Augsbu… 2-0
Apr 12 Union Ber… vs FC Augsbu… 2-0
Apr 06 Union Ber… vs Bayer Lev… 0-1
Mar 30 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 0-0
Mar 30 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 0-0
Mar 16 Union Ber… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Mar 08 Union Ber… vs VfB Stutt… 2-0
Mar 08 Union Ber… vs VfB Stutt… 2-0
Mar 02 Union Ber… vs Borussia … 0-2
Mar 02 Union Ber… vs Borussia … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hemelingen in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Union Berlin struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2023 Union Berlin 1 - 5 Hemelingen Oberliga - Bre…
Apr 16, 2023 Hemelingen 2 - 1 Union Berlin Oberliga - Bre…
Nov 06, 2022 Union Berlin 3 - 3 Hemelingen Oberliga - Bre…
Mar 20, 2022 Union Berlin 1 - 3 Hemelingen Oberliga - Bre…
Oct 17, 2021 Hemelingen 2 - 1 Union Berlin Oberliga - Bre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union Berlin to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hemelingen Power 4
Union Berlin Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.