AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Oberliga - Bremen Apr 16, 2023

Hemelingen

Home
VS
11:00

Union Berlin

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Hemelingen Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Union Berlin Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.37 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hemelingen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Union Berlin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Hemelingen Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 2-1
Feb 12 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 1-5
Nov 06 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 3-3
Oct 15 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 1-4
Sep 04 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 2-2
Apr 18 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 0-3
Mar 20 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 1-3
Feb 13 Hemelingen vs Vatan Spo… 5-0
Oct 17 Hemelingen vs Union Ber… 2-1
Oct 06 Hemelingen vs Brinkumer… 6-3
Union Berlin Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Union Ber… vs Borussia … 2-1
Apr 04 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Apr 01 Union Ber… vs VfB Stutt… 3-0
Mar 19 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Mar 12 Union Ber… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Mar 04 Union Ber… vs FC Koln 0-0
Feb 26 Union Ber… vs Bayern Mu… 3-0
Feb 19 Union Ber… vs Geestemün… 3-2
Feb 11 Union Ber… vs RB Leipzig 1-2
Feb 05 Union Ber… vs Aumund-Ve… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hemelingen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2022 Union Berlin 3 - 3 Hemelingen Oberliga - Bre…
Mar 20, 2022 Union Berlin 1 - 3 Hemelingen Oberliga - Bre…
Oct 17, 2021 Hemelingen 2 - 1 Union Berlin Oberliga - Bre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union Berlin to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hemelingen Power 4
Union Berlin Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.