AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 20, 2025

Dungannon Swifts

Home
VS
15:00

Portadown

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dungannon Swifts Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Portadown Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.80 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Dungannon Swifts Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-3
Dec 06 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Nov 29 Dungannon… vs Larne 1-2
Nov 21 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-1
Nov 08 Dungannon… vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Nov 04 Dungannon… vs Moyola Pa… 0-1
Nov 01 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Oct 25 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-0
Oct 18 Dungannon… vs Coleraine… 4-0
Oct 11 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 3-1
Portadown Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Dec 06 Portadown vs Crusaders… 0-4
Nov 29 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-3
Nov 22 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-2
Nov 15 Portadown vs Bangor 1-1
Nov 07 Portadown vs Larne 3-0
Oct 31 Portadown vs Glentoran 2-1
Oct 25 Portadown vs Coleraine… 0-2
Oct 17 Portadown vs Linfield 2-0
Oct 11 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portadown in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 4 Portadown Premiership
Mar 15, 2025 Portadown 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Sep 13, 2024 Portadown 2 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jul 18, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Portadown Friendlies Clu…
Apr 22, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Sep 23, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Portadown Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Portadown Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.