AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 12, 2025

Palermo

Home
VS
19:30

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Palermo Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Sampdoria Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Palermo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Palermo vs Empoli 1-3
Nov 29 Palermo vs Carrarese 5-0
Nov 22 Palermo vs Virtus En… 1-1
Nov 08 Palermo vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Nov 01 Palermo vs Pescara 5-0
Oct 28 Palermo vs Monza 0-3
Oct 25 Palermo vs Catanzaro 1-0
Oct 19 Palermo vs Modena 1-1
Oct 04 Palermo vs Spezia 1-2
Sep 30 Palermo vs Venezia 0-0
Sampdoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 3-2
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-0
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Nov 08 Sampdoria vs Venezia 3-1
Nov 02 Sampdoria vs Mantova 0-1
Oct 28 Sampdoria vs Empoli 1-1
Oct 25 Sampdoria vs Frosinone 1-1
Oct 17 Sampdoria vs Virtus En… 3-1
Oct 05 Sampdoria vs Pescara 4-1
Oct 01 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palermo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sampdoria struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Palermo Serie B
Nov 24, 2024 Palermo 1 - 1 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2024 Palermo 1 - 1 Sampdoria Pro League
May 17, 2024 Palermo 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 04, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palermo to win (56% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 56% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palermo Power 44
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Palermo Position

+10

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.