AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Dec 13, 2025
Musanze
HomeVS
13:00
Etincelles
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
Draw
Etincelles Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.48 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.9
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
Musanze Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 05 | Musanze vs Rayon Spo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Musanze vs Police | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Musanze vs APR | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | Musanze vs Gicumbi | 3-2 |
| Nov 01 | Musanze vs Amagaju | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Musanze vs Rutsiro | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Musanze vs Bugesera | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Musanze vs AS Kigali | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Musanze vs Mukura | 1-0 |
Etincelles Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 05 | Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… | 4-1 |
| Dec 02 | Etincelles vs APR | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | Etincelles vs Mukura | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Etincelles vs Amagaju | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Etincelles vs Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Etincelles vs Gicumbi | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Etincelles vs Gorilla | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Etincelles vs Muhanga | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Etincelles vs Marines | 0-2 |
| Sep 13 | Etincelles vs Gasogi Un… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Musanze in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 01, 2025 | Etincelles | 3 - 0 | Musanze | National Socce… |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Musanze | 0 - 0 | Etincelles | National Socce… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Musanze | 1 - 1 | Etincelles | National Socce… |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Etincelles | 0 - 3 | Musanze | National Socce… |
| Feb 05, 2023 | Musanze | 0 - 0 | Etincelles | National Socce… |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Etincelles | 3 - 2 | Musanze | National Socce… |
| May 07, 2022 | Etincelles | 1 - 0 | Musanze | National Socce… |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Musanze | 1 - 1 | Etincelles | National Socce… |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Etincelles | 3 - 1 | Musanze | National Socce… |
| May 13, 2021 | Musanze | 3 - 1 | Etincelles | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Musanze to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Musanze Power
0
Etincelles Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
Musanze Position+11
Position Gap18
Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.