AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CAF Champions League Nov 22, 2025

ES Tunis

Home
VS
16:00

Stade Malien Bamako

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
ES Tunis Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Stade Malien Bamako Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.08 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ES Tunis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Stade Malien Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
ES Tunis Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 ES Tunis vs Club Afri… 0-0
Nov 06 ES Tunis vs Jeunesse … 4-0
Nov 02 ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien 1-2
Oct 30 ES Tunis vs Club Athl… 2-0
Oct 26 ES Tunis vs Rahimo 3-0
Oct 22 ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis 0-0
Oct 18 ES Tunis vs Rahimo 0-1
Oct 05 ES Tunis vs Étoile du… 1-0
Oct 01 ES Tunis vs AS Marsa 0-3
Sep 27 ES Tunis vs AS-FAN 4-1
Stade Malien Bamako Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Stade Mal… vs Nouadhibou 2-0
Oct 19 Stade Mal… vs Nouadhibou 1-1
Sep 27 Stade Mal… vs Tempête M… 2-0
Sep 21 Stade Mal… vs Tempête M… 0-5
Jun 15 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 1-1
Jun 04 Stade Mal… vs Binga 1-1
May 24 Stade Mal… vs Bakaridjan 0-1
May 19 Stade Mal… vs Bougouni 0-0
May 15 Stade Mal… vs Diarra 0-3
May 10 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ES Tunis in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Stade Malien Bamako in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: ES Tunis to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ES Tunis Power 0
Stade Malien Bamako Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

ES Tunis Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Stade Malien Bamako Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.