AI Match Insights

CAF Champions League Nov 22, 2025

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Home
VS
13:00

Saint Eloi Lupopo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Saint Eloi Lupopo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Saint Eloi Lupopo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Mamelodi … vs TS Galaxy 1-0
Nov 01 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 1-1
Oct 26 Mamelodi … vs Remo Stars 2-0
Oct 19 Mamelodi … vs Remo Stars 1-5
Oct 04 Mamelodi … vs Marumo Ga… 0-0
Sep 27 Mamelodi … vs Richards … 4-1
Sep 24 Mamelodi … vs Golden Ar… 1-0
Sep 20 Mamelodi … vs Durban Ci… 3-1
Sep 17 Mamelodi … vs Marumo Ga… 1-1
Sep 14 Mamelodi … vs Magesi 3-0
Saint Eloi Lupopo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Saint Elo… vs Sanga Bal… 1-1
Nov 08 Saint Elo… vs Simba 1-1
Nov 05 Saint Elo… vs FC Tshikas 2-1
Nov 02 Saint Elo… vs TP Mazembe 2-1
Oct 30 Saint Elo… vs CS Manika 0-1
Oct 25 Saint Elo… vs Orlando P… 3-0
Oct 19 Saint Elo… vs Orlando P… 3-0
Oct 04 Saint Elo… vs Al Merrei… 0-0
Sep 27 Saint Elo… vs Al Merrei… 1-0
Jun 24 Saint Elo… vs TP Mazembe 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Saint Eloi Lupopo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power 0
Saint Eloi Lupopo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Saint Eloi Lupopo Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.