AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Dec 21, 2025

Nairobi United

Home
VS
13:00

Gor Mahia

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Nairobi United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Gor Mahia Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 0.38 - 2.21
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nairobi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (18%) 0-1 (17%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Nairobi United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Nairobi U… vs Tusker 0-1
Dec 12 Nairobi U… vs Murang'a … 1-1
Dec 08 Nairobi U… vs Posta Ran… 2-0
Dec 04 Nairobi U… vs Mathare U… 0-1
Nov 30 Nairobi U… vs Maniema U… 0-1
Nov 23 Nairobi U… vs Wydad Fès 3-0
Nov 08 Nairobi U… vs Kariobang… 4-2
Nov 04 Nairobi U… vs Bandari 3-1
Nov 01 Nairobi U… vs Sofapaka 0-3
Oct 26 Nairobi U… vs Étoile du… 2-0
Gor Mahia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz 1-0
Dec 12 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 1-1
Dec 07 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Nov 25 Gor Mahia vs APS Bomet 1-4
Nov 22 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 1-0
Nov 09 Gor Mahia vs Police 0-2
Nov 02 Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
Oct 30 Gor Mahia vs Mathare U… 0-2
Oct 26 Gor Mahia vs Posta Ran… 3-0
Oct 05 Gor Mahia vs KCB 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nairobi United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 29, 2025 Nairobi United 1 - 2 Gor Mahia Shield Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nairobi United Power 0
Gor Mahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Nairobi United Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Gor Mahia Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.