AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Dec 22, 2025

Mara Sugar

Home
VS
10:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mara Sugar Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Murang'a SEAL Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 0.33
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Mara Sugar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-0
Dec 13 Mara Sugar vs Kariobang… 2-0
Dec 08 Mara Sugar vs Mathare U… 0-1
Nov 29 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 0-1
Nov 22 Mara Sugar vs KCB 0-1
Nov 15 Mara Sugar vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Nov 08 Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopa… 2-0
Nov 01 Mara Sugar vs Bandari 0-0
Oct 28 Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka 2-2
Oct 24 Mara Sugar vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Murang'a SEAL Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Murang'a … vs Police 1-0
Dec 12 Murang'a … vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Nov 30 Murang'a … vs Kariobang… 0-0
Nov 23 Murang'a … vs Shabana 1-1
Nov 16 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Nov 09 Murang'a … vs Homeboyz 1-1
Nov 02 Murang'a … vs KCB 2-1
Oct 30 Murang'a … vs Posta Ran… 2-2
Oct 26 Murang'a … vs Tusker 0-1
Oct 15 Murang'a … vs Sofapaka 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 29, 2025 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 0 Mara Sugar Shield Cup
Jun 15, 2025 Mara Sugar 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
Sep 29, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 1 Mara Sugar FKF Premier Le…
May 28, 2023 Mara Sugar 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Feb 04, 2023 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 0 Mara Sugar Super League
Jun 13, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 1 Mara Sugar Super League
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mara Sugar Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Mara Sugar Position

-9

Position Gap

4

Murang'a SEAL Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.