AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Dec 01, 2025

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
01:00

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.11 - 1.10
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Cruz Azul Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Nov 09 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Nov 01 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-3
Oct 26 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 2-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Necaxa 1-1
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
Oct 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Sep 29 Cruz Azul vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Sep 25 Cruz Azul vs Querétaro 2-2
Sep 20 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-2
Guadalajara Chivas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 0-0
Nov 08 Guadalaja… vs Monterrey 4-2
Nov 03 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-1
Oct 26 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 4-1
Oct 23 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-0
Oct 19 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-0
Oct 06 Guadalaja… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-2
Sep 27 Guadalaja… vs Puebla 0-2
Sep 24 Guadalaja… vs Necaxa 3-1
Sep 21 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 28, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Aug 31, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Mar 30, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Sep 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por MĂ©xico
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.