AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 27, 2025

Monterrey

Home
VS
03:05

Club América

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Monterrey Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Club América Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.24 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.0
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monterrey Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Monterrey Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Monterrey vs Guadalaja… 4-2
Nov 02 Monterrey vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Oct 26 Monterrey vs Las Vegas… 1-1
Oct 26 Monterrey vs Cruz Azul 2-0
Oct 22 Monterrey vs FC Juarez 4-2
Oct 19 Monterrey vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Oct 19 Monterrey vs Pittsburg… 0-3
Oct 06 Monterrey vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Oct 04 Monterrey vs Tampa Bay… 4-0
Sep 28 Monterrey vs Santos La… 1-0
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Club Amér… vs Los Angel… 2-2
Nov 09 Club Amér… vs Toluca 2-0
Nov 02 Club Amér… vs León FC 2-0
Oct 25 Club Amér… vs Mazatlán … 2-2
Oct 22 Club Amér… vs Puebla 2-1
Oct 19 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Oct 05 Club Amér… vs Santos La… 3-0
Sep 28 Club Amér… vs U.N.A.M. … 4-1
Sep 25 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 0-1
Sep 21 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Monterrey 2 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Apr 17, 2025 Monterrey 1 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Dec 16, 2024 Monterrey 1 - 1 Club América Liga MX
Dec 13, 2024 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Oct 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Feb 04, 2024 Club América 1 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Oct 29, 2023 Monterrey 0 - 3 Club América Liga MX
Jun 21, 2023 Club América 0 - 1 Monterrey Friendlies Clu…
Apr 09, 2023 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Jul 10, 2022 Monterrey 3 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monterrey Power 0
Club América Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Monterrey Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.