AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 28, 2025

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
02:07

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Cruz Azul Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 1.75 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Guadalaja… vs Monterrey 4-2
Nov 03 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-1
Oct 26 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 4-1
Oct 23 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-0
Oct 19 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-0
Oct 06 Guadalaja… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-2
Sep 27 Guadalaja… vs Puebla 0-2
Sep 24 Guadalaja… vs Necaxa 3-1
Sep 21 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 0-3
Sep 18 Guadalaja… vs Tigres UA… 0-0
Cruz Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Nov 01 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-3
Oct 26 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 2-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Necaxa 1-1
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
Oct 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Sep 29 Cruz Azul vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Sep 25 Cruz Azul vs Querétaro 2-2
Sep 20 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-2
Sep 13 Cruz Azul vs Pachuca 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Mar 30, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Sep 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por MĂ©xico
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.