AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Dec 07, 2025

Atlético Choloma

Home
VS
21:00

Olancho

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atlético Choloma Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Olancho Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.81 - 2.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 2.0
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Choloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
19%
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Atlético Choloma Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Atlético … vs Victoria 4-1
Nov 27 Atlético … vs CD Marath… 0-4
Nov 22 Atlético … vs Platense … 1-4
Nov 09 Atlético … vs CD Motagua 2-1
Nov 02 Atlético … vs Génesis 1-0
Oct 25 Atlético … vs Juticalpa 2-2
Oct 19 Atlético … vs Real Espa… 3-0
Oct 15 Atlético … vs Lobos Upn… 5-1
Sep 28 Atlético … vs CD Olimpia 2-0
Sep 21 Atlético … vs Olancho 6-2
Olancho Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Nov 26 Olancho vs Platense … 2-0
Nov 21 Olancho vs CD Motagua 3-2
Nov 08 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 1-1
Nov 01 Olancho vs CD Marath… 2-1
Oct 26 Olancho vs Génesis 2-2
Oct 16 Olancho vs Juticalpa 0-1
Oct 04 Olancho vs Victoria 2-2
Sep 28 Olancho vs Real Espa… 1-1
Sep 21 Olancho vs Atlético … 6-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Choloma struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Olancho struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Olancho 6 - 2 Atlético Choloma Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Choloma Power 0
Olancho Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.