AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Dec 03, 2025

Génesis

Home
VS
21:00

Juticalpa

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Juticalpa Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.35 - 0.85
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Génesis Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-0
Nov 23 Génesis vs Victoria 2-1
Nov 09 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 6-2
Nov 02 Génesis vs Atlético … 1-0
Oct 26 Génesis vs Olancho 2-2
Oct 18 Génesis vs CD Marath… 0-3
Oct 05 Génesis vs CD Motagua 4-3
Sep 27 Génesis vs Lobos Upn… 2-3
Sep 25 Génesis vs Juticalpa 1-1
Sep 20 Génesis vs Platense … 1-1
Juticalpa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Juticalpa vs Victoria 3-4
Nov 22 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Nov 01 Juticalpa vs Real Espa… 4-3
Oct 25 Juticalpa vs Atlético … 2-2
Oct 19 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Oct 16 Juticalpa vs Olancho 0-1
Oct 04 Juticalpa vs CD Marath… 1-3
Sep 28 Juticalpa vs Platense … 1-1
Sep 25 Juticalpa vs Génesis 1-1
Sep 21 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2025 Juticalpa 1 - 1 Génesis Liga Nacional
Apr 26, 2025 Génesis 1 - 0 Juticalpa Liga Nacional
Feb 23, 2025 Juticalpa 0 - 1 Génesis Liga Nacional
Dec 01, 2024 Génesis 3 - 0 Juticalpa Liga Nacional
Sep 22, 2024 Juticalpa 0 - 0 Génesis Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Génesis Power 0
Juticalpa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.