AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Dec 03, 2025
Génesis
HomeVS
21:00
Juticalpa
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
Draw
Juticalpa Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.35 - 0.85
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
Génesis Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Génesis vs Victoria | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Génesis vs CD Olimpia | 6-2 |
| Nov 02 | Génesis vs Atlético … | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Génesis vs Olancho | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Génesis vs CD Marath… | 0-3 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis vs CD Motagua | 4-3 |
| Sep 27 | Génesis vs Lobos Upn… | 2-3 |
| Sep 25 | Génesis vs Juticalpa | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Génesis vs Platense … | 1-1 |
Juticalpa Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26 | Juticalpa vs Victoria | 3-4 |
| Nov 22 | Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Juticalpa vs Real Espa… | 4-3 |
| Oct 25 | Juticalpa vs Atlético … | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia | 0-2 |
| Oct 16 | Juticalpa vs Olancho | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Juticalpa vs CD Marath… | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Juticalpa vs Platense … | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Juticalpa vs Génesis | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Juticalpa vs CD Motagua | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Juticalpa | 1 - 1 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Génesis | 1 - 0 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juticalpa | 0 - 1 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Génesis | 3 - 0 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0 - 0 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Génesis Power
0
Juticalpa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.