AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Clausura Nov 23, 2025
PeƱarol Montevideo
HomeVS
00:17
Club Nacional
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
PeƱarol Montevideo Win
Draw
Club Nacional Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.73 - 0.29
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PeƱarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (36%)
1-0 (26%)
0-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
92%
PeƱarol Montevideo Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 09 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Atletico ā¦ | 0-1 |
| Nov 07 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Juventud | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Progreso | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Oct 20 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Plaza Colā¦ | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Rangers FC | 3-0 |
| Oct 16 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Miramar | 2-2 |
Club Nacional Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 09 | Club Naciā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Club Naciā¦ vs Rangers FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Club Naciā¦ vs Miramar | 3-1 |
| Oct 12 | Club Naciā¦ vs Danubio | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Club Naciā¦ vs Juventud | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Club Naciā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | Club Naciā¦ vs Plaza Colā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Club Naciā¦ vs Racing Clā¦ | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- PeƱarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3 - 1 | PeƱarol Montevideo | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Aug 09, 2025 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 3 - 0 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Aug 04, 2024 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | PeƱarol Montevideo | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 06, 2024 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 2 - 1 | Club Nacional | Copa Uruguay |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: PeƱarol Montevideo to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
PeƱarol Montevideo Power
0
Club Nacional Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.