AI Match Insights
Championship Sep 15, 2023
Southampton
HomeVS
19:00
Leicester
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
Draw
Leicester Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
Combined: 46%
Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.63 - 2.15
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
Under 2.5 Goals
22%
Southampton Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Southampt… vs Forest Gr… | 0-1 |
| Aug 12 | Southampt… vs Norwich C… | 4-4 |
| Jul 29 | Southampt… vs Aldershot… | 0-1 |
| Jul 25 | Southampt… vs Woking | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Southampt… vs Leicester | 1-0 |
| Aug 20 | Southampt… vs Leicester | 1-2 |
| Jul 19 | Southampt… vs Woking | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Southampt… vs Leicester | 4-1 |
| Feb 26 | Southampt… vs Scunthorpe | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Southampt… vs Norwich C… | 2-0 |
Leicester Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 06 | Leicester vs Coventry | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Leicester vs Southampt… | 1-0 |
| Aug 20 | Leicester vs Southampt… | 1-2 |
| Jul 23 | Leicester vs Derby | 1-3 |
| May 22 | Leicester vs Southampt… | 4-1 |
| May 15 | Leicester vs Watford | 1-5 |
| Jan 08 | Leicester vs Watford | 4-1 |
| Dec 01 | Leicester vs Southampt… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Leicester vs Watford | 4-2 |
| Jul 31 | Leicester vs QPR | 3-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Leicester in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Southampton struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 04, 2023 | Southampton | 1 - 0 | Leicester | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Leicester | 1 - 2 | Southampton | Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Leicester | 4 - 1 | Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 01, 2021 | Southampton | 2 - 2 | Leicester | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Southampton | 1 - 1 | Leicester | Premier League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Southampton to win (50% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Southampton Power
36
Leicester Power
33
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
14
Southampton Position+3
Position Gap17
Leicester Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.