AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Mar 07, 2025

Norwich City

Home
VS
20:00

Oxford United

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Norwich City Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Oxford United Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.01 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Norwich City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Oxford United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Norwich City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Norwich C… vs Blackburn 1-1
Feb 22 Norwich C… vs Stoke City 4-2
Feb 15 Norwich C… vs Hull City 1-1
Feb 11 Norwich C… vs Preston 0-1
Feb 08 Norwich C… vs Derby 1-1
Feb 01 Norwich C… vs Watford 0-1
Jan 25 Norwich C… vs Swansea 5-1
Jan 22 Norwich C… vs Leeds 2-0
Jan 18 Norwich C… vs Sheffield… 2-0
Jan 04 Norwich C… vs Coventry 2-1
Oxford United Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Oxford Un… vs Coventry 2-3
Feb 22 Oxford Un… vs West Brom 2-0
Feb 15 Oxford Un… vs Portsmout… 0-2
Feb 11 Oxford Un… vs Derby 0-0
Feb 04 Oxford Un… vs Burnley 1-0
Feb 01 Oxford Un… vs Bristol C… 1-1
Jan 25 Oxford Un… vs Stoke City 0-0
Jan 21 Oxford Un… vs Bolton 3-2
Jan 18 Oxford Un… vs Blackburn 1-0
Jan 14 Oxford Un… vs Plymouth 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Oxford United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2024 Oxford United 2 - 0 Norwich City Pro League
Aug 10, 2024 Oxford United 2 - 0 Norwich City Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Norwich City to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Norwich City Power 33
Oxford United Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Norwich City Position

+5

Position Gap

23

Oxford United Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.