AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 10, 2024

Oxford United

Home
VS
11:30

Norwich City

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Oxford United Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Norwich City Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Oxford United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Norwich City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Oxford United Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Oxford Un… vs Bolton 0-2
May 08 Oxford Un… vs Peterboro… 1-1
May 04 Oxford Un… vs Peterboro… 1-0
Apr 27 Oxford Un… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 27 Oxford Un… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 20 Oxford Un… vs Altrincham 1-0
Apr 19 Oxford Un… vs Stevenage 1-1
Apr 19 Oxford Un… vs Stevenage 1-1
Apr 16 Oxford Un… vs Lincoln 0-1
Apr 16 Oxford Un… vs Lincoln 0-1
Norwich City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Norwich C… vs Leeds 4-0
May 12 Norwich C… vs Leeds 0-0
May 04 Norwich C… vs Birmingham 1-0
May 04 Norwich C… vs Birmingham 1-0
Apr 27 Norwich C… vs Swansea 2-2
Apr 27 Norwich C… vs Swansea 2-2
Apr 20 Norwich C… vs Bristol C… 1-1
Apr 20 Norwich C… vs Bristol C… 1-1
Apr 13 Norwich C… vs Preston 0-1
Apr 13 Norwich C… vs Preston 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Oxford United in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Norwich City struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Oxford United to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Oxford United Power 30
Norwich City Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Oxford United Position

-5

Position Gap

18

Norwich City Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 31%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.