AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Professional Development League Dec 23, 2024

Colchester United U21

Home
VS
13:00

Bristol City U21

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Colchester United U21 Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bristol City U21 Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.44 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Colchester United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Bristol City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Colchester United U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Colcheste… vs Queens Pa… 0-1
Dec 06 Colcheste… vs Cardiff C… 0-1
Nov 01 Colcheste… vs Charlton … 2-2
Oct 28 Colcheste… vs Watford U… 7-0
Oct 22 Colcheste… vs Queens Pa… 1-1
Oct 11 Colcheste… vs Queens Pa… 2-3
Sep 24 Colcheste… vs Millwall … 3-0
May 07 Colcheste… vs Watford U… 2-1
May 03 Colcheste… vs Charlton … 4-2
Mar 22 Colcheste… vs Charlton … 1-2
Bristol City U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Bristol C… vs Brentford… 0-4
Nov 04 Bristol C… vs Cardiff C… 4-1
Oct 08 Bristol C… vs Queens Pa… 0-1
Sep 30 Bristol C… vs AFC Bourn… 5-0
Sep 23 Bristol C… vs Swansea C… 2-0
Aug 12 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 1-1
Apr 23 Bristol C… vs Hull City… 3-1
Apr 20 Bristol C… vs Swansea C… 3-1
Mar 08 Bristol C… vs Colcheste… 6-2
Feb 20 Bristol C… vs Millwall … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bristol City U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 Colchester United U… 6 - 2 Bristol City U21 Professional D…
Dec 05, 2023 Bristol City U21 4 - 2 Colchester United U… Professional D…
Feb 21, 2023 Bristol City U21 1 - 2 Colchester United U… Professional D…
Oct 11, 2022 Colchester United U… 0 - 1 Bristol City U21 Professional D…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Colchester United U21 Power 21
Bristol City U21 Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Colchester United U21 Position

-1

Position Gap

9

Bristol City U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.