AI Match Insights

Serie A May 11, 2023

Palmeiras

Home
VS
00:30

Remo

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Palmeiras Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Remo Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.33
Key Insights
Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Remo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (53%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 7%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Palmeiras Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Palmeiras vs Santos 3-1
Feb 02 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 0-2
Jan 29 Palmeiras vs Gurupi 0-3
Jan 20 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 0-1
Oct 03 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 1-3
Sep 29 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 0-1
Sep 18 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Aug 11 Palmeiras vs Atletico-… 0-0
Jul 30 Palmeiras vs Ceará 1-2
May 29 Palmeiras vs Santos 0-1
Remo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Remo vs São Luiz 0-0
Feb 15 Remo vs Águia de … 1-2
Feb 12 Remo vs Avenida 2-0
Jan 29 Remo vs São José 0-1
Sep 20 Remo vs Sport Rec… 3-0
Sep 11 Remo vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Jun 13 Remo vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Jun 02 Remo vs Vasco DA … 0-0
May 15 Remo vs Mirassol 3-1
Mar 06 Remo vs Águia de … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palmeiras in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Remo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 31, 2021 Remo 1 - 3 Palmeiras Serie A
Jul 07, 2021 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Remo Serie A
Mar 07, 2021 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Remo Copa do Brasil
Mar 01, 2021 Remo 0 - 1 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil
Jan 16, 2021 Palmeiras 1 - 1 Remo Serie A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Palmeiras to win (82% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palmeiras Power 0
Remo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Palmeiras Position

+14

Position Gap

16

Remo Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.