AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Oct 06, 2023

Birmingham

Home
VS
19:00

West Brom

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Birmingham Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
West Brom Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 0.87 - 2.21
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (8%) 1-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Birmingham Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Birmingham vs Norwich C… 2-0
Sep 22 Birmingham vs QPR 0-0
Sep 16 Birmingham vs Watford 2-0
Sep 09 Birmingham vs Harrogate 1-0
Aug 26 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-3
Aug 19 Birmingham vs Crawley T… 0-1
Aug 05 Birmingham vs Swansea 1-1
Jul 25 Birmingham vs Cambridge… 0-4
May 08 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 1-2
Apr 29 Birmingham vs Newport C… 1-2
West Brom Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 West Brom vs Liverpool 3-1
Sep 16 West Brom vs Bristol C… 0-0
Sep 16 West Brom vs Mancheste… 1-3
Aug 26 West Brom vs Brighton 1-3
Aug 26 West Brom vs Middlesbr… 4-2
Aug 20 West Brom vs Chelsea 3-1
Aug 12 West Brom vs Swansea 3-2
Aug 12 West Brom vs Bournemou… 1-1
Jul 18 West Brom vs Tottenham 2-3
May 08 West Brom vs Swansea 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 0 West Brom Championship
Sep 14, 2022 West Brom 2 - 3 Birmingham Championship
Apr 03, 2022 Birmingham 1 - 0 West Brom Championship
Oct 15, 2021 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Jul 31, 2021 Birmingham 0 - 4 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Jun 20, 2020 West Brom 0 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Birmingham to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham Power 36
West Brom Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Birmingham Position

+9

Position Gap

22

West Brom Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.