AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Oct 15, 2021

West Brom

Home
VS
19:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
West Brom Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Birmingham Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.35 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
West Brom Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 West Brom vs QPR 2-1
Sep 14 West Brom vs Derby 0-0
Aug 18 West Brom vs Sheffield… 4-0
Jul 31 West Brom vs Birmingham 0-4
May 15 West Brom vs Brighton 1-1
Apr 22 West Brom vs Leicester 3-0
Apr 12 West Brom vs Southampt… 3-0
Apr 03 West Brom vs Chelsea 2-5
Feb 27 West Brom vs Mancheste… 2-1
Feb 06 West Brom vs Fulham 0-0
Birmingham Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Birmingham vs Cambridge… 0-2
Sep 28 Birmingham vs QPR 2-0
Sep 18 Birmingham vs Milton Ke… 1-4
Sep 10 Birmingham vs Derby 2-0
Sep 07 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-1
Aug 28 Birmingham vs Shrewsbury 2-1
Aug 24 Birmingham vs Chelsea 1-1
Aug 14 Birmingham vs Stoke City 0-0
Aug 10 Birmingham vs Crawley T… 2-2
Aug 07 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • West Brom in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Birmingham in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 31, 2021 Birmingham 0 - 4 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Jun 20, 2020 West Brom 0 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
West Brom Power 30
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

22

West Brom Position

-9

Position Gap

13

Birmingham Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.