AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 28, 2024

Club América

Home
VS
02:05

Monterrey

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Club América Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Monterrey Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.21 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Monterrey Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Club América Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Sep 22 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 1-1
Jul 06 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 2-1
May 27 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 24 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
May 19 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 1-0
May 16 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 0-0
May 12 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 1-1
May 09 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 1-1
May 01 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Monterrey Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Monterrey vs FC UFA 2-1
Oct 20 Monterrey vs Colorado … 0-1
Sep 29 Monterrey vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Sep 22 Monterrey vs Mazatlán … 0-0
Sep 01 Monterrey vs Toluca 1-2
Aug 24 Monterrey vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Jul 18 Monterrey vs Necaxa 0-1
May 20 Monterrey vs Cruz Azul 1-2
May 17 Monterrey vs Cruz Azul 0-1
May 13 Monterrey vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monterrey struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Club América 1 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Oct 29, 2023 Monterrey 0 - 3 Club América Liga MX
Jun 21, 2023 Club América 0 - 1 Monterrey Friendlies Clu…
Apr 09, 2023 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Jul 10, 2022 Monterrey 3 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Monterrey Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Club América Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Monterrey Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.