AI Match Insights

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Liga MX Mar 30, 2025

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
03:05

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cruz Azul Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.41 - 1.16
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-1
Feb 27 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 3-1
Feb 23 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 2-1
Feb 01 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Dec 28 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 0-0
Nov 22 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 1-2
Nov 09 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-1
Oct 19 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-2
Oct 06 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 2-3
Sep 29 Guadalaja… vs Monterrey 1-1
Cruz Azul Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Jan 25 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-1
Jan 18 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Jan 12 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-1
Nov 10 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Nov 07 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Oct 27 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Oct 24 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 4-0
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Sep 22 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por México
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.