AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Sep 22, 2024

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
03:05

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.70
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (37%) 0-1 (26%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Cruz Azul Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Cruz Azul vs LeĂłn FC 1-2
Jul 21 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-1
May 27 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 24 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-1
May 20 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 1-2
May 17 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 0-1
May 13 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-2
May 10 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Apr 28 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 0-1
Apr 22 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Guadalajara Chivas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 5-0
Jul 20 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-0
Jul 17 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 0-2
May 19 Guadalaja… vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 16 Guadalaja… vs Club Amér… 0-0
May 12 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 0-0
May 09 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 1-0
Apr 28 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 0-1
Apr 21 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 2-0
Apr 13 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por MĂ©xico
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.