AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Mar 03, 2024

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
01:05

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Cruz Azul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-3
Feb 18 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Jan 20 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 0-0
Nov 13 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Nov 05 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Nov 02 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-0
Oct 29 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Jul 08 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 0-2
Jul 02 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-0
Guadalajara Chivas Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-2
Feb 10 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 2-1
Feb 05 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-2
Nov 05 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Nov 01 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-2
Oct 08 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 4-1
Sep 27 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 1-3
Sep 24 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-0
Aug 19 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-1
Jul 09 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por México
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.