AI Match Insights

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Liga MX Nov 05, 2023

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
03:05

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Cruz Azul Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.03 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-2
Oct 08 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 4-1
Sep 24 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-0
Aug 19 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-1
Jul 09 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 3-1
Apr 23 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Feb 12 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 1-1
Feb 05 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Jan 29 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Jan 14 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-0
Cruz Azul Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-0
Oct 29 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Jul 02 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-0
Jun 21 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-1
May 06 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 0-1
Apr 23 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Apr 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 0-0
Feb 25 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Feb 23 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por México
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.