AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 23, 2023

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
01:05

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Cruz Azul Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.50 - 0.58
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (17%) 1-1 (10%) 0-2 (6%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 1-1
Feb 05 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Jan 29 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Jan 14 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-0
Dec 31 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 0-2
Dec 17 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 1-0
Oct 02 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Aug 06 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Jul 31 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-0
Jul 28 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 2-2
Cruz Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 0-0
Feb 25 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Feb 23 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-0
Feb 18 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-3
Feb 12 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 3-1
Feb 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 0-1
Dec 31 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-2
Dec 23 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-1
Oct 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 02 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por México
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.