AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 02, 2022

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
02:05

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.02 - 1.53
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Cruz Azul Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Sep 03 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-2
Aug 14 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 2-3
Jul 24 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 2-2
Jul 16 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 3-2
Jul 03 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-3
Jun 27 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Apr 17 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Apr 03 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-0
Mar 06 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-3
Guadalajara Chivas Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Jul 31 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-0
Jul 28 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 2-2
Jul 10 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-1
Jul 02 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 0-0
Apr 17 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Mar 03 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 2-2
Feb 10 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-3
Jan 22 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Jan 16 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.