AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Sep 30, 2023

Police

Home
VS
12:00

Bidco United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Police Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bidco United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.26 - 1.65
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Bidco United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Police Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Police vs AFC Leopa… 2-2
Aug 26 Police vs Kariobang… 0-0
Jul 05 Police vs Viktoria … 2-1
Jun 25 Police vs KCB 2-2
May 21 Police vs Baník Ost… 2-1
May 03 Police vs Bidco Uni… 2-0
Apr 26 Police vs Bandari 0-3
Apr 15 Police vs Tusker 1-0
Apr 15 Police vs Slovácko 1-3
Apr 09 Police vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Bidco United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 0-3
May 03 Bidco Uni… vs Police 2-0
Apr 26 Bidco Uni… vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Apr 22 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 0-3
Apr 05 Bidco Uni… vs Kariobang… 1-2
Mar 12 Bidco Uni… vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Feb 19 Bidco Uni… vs Sofapaka 2-0
Feb 05 Bidco Uni… vs Police 0-1
Jan 28 Bidco Uni… vs Kariobang… 1-1
Jan 25 Bidco Uni… vs Mathare U… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2023 Police 2 - 0 Bidco United FKF Premier Le…
Feb 05, 2023 Bidco United 0 - 1 Police FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Police to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Police Power 0
Bidco United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Police Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Bidco United Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.