AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Dec 10, 2025

Al Merreikh

Home
VS
16:00

Marines

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al Merreikh Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Marines Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.64 - 0.84
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Merreikh Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Marines Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (23%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Al Merreikh Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Al Merreiā€¦ vs AS Kigali 2-1
Dec 03 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Rutsiro 0-1
Nov 30 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Gorilla 0-1
Nov 27 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Bugesera 1-0
Nov 24 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Kiyovu Spā€¦ 0-2
Oct 04 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Saint Eloā€¦ 0-0
Sep 27 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Saint Eloā€¦ 1-0
Jul 22 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Al Hilal ā€¦ 4-0
Jul 19 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Alamal Atā€¦ 0-1
Jul 16 Al Merreiā€¦ vs Al-Mergheā€¦ 2-1
Marines Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Marines vs Gasogi Unā€¦ 0-2
Nov 30 Marines vs Bugesera 2-1
Nov 25 Marines vs APR 2-1
Nov 22 Marines vs Gorilla 1-0
Nov 08 Marines vs Muhanga 0-2
Nov 02 Marines vs Rayon Spoā€¦ 0-1
Oct 26 Marines vs Police 1-2
Oct 18 Marines vs AS Kigali 1-0
Oct 04 Marines vs Rutsiro 2-0
Sep 20 Marines vs Etincelles 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Merreikh in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Marines in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Merreikh to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Merreikh Power 0
Marines Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Merreikh Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Marines Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.