AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ýokary Liga Dec 15, 2025

Altyn Asyr

Home
VS
14:00

Merw

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Altyn Asyr Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Merw Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 4.17 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Altyn Asyr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Merw Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Altyn Asyr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Altyn Asyr vs Şagadam 1-2
Dec 07 Altyn Asyr vs Arkadag 2-0
Dec 04 Altyn Asyr vs Balkan 3-0
Nov 30 Altyn Asyr vs Köpetdag … 1-5
Nov 09 Altyn Asyr vs Ahal 3-3
Oct 31 Altyn Asyr vs Al Shabab… 1-3
Oct 28 Altyn Asyr vs PAOK 1-3
Oct 25 Altyn Asyr vs Abdish-Ata 1-0
Sep 28 Altyn Asyr vs Aşgabat 0-5
Sep 22 Altyn Asyr vs Balkan 0-3
Merw Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Merw vs Ahal 0-2
Dec 04 Merw vs Ahal 4-0
Nov 30 Merw vs Arkadag 4-1
Nov 08 Merw vs Balkan 1-2
Oct 30 Merw vs Aşgabat 2-1
Oct 26 Merw vs Köpetdag … 2-2
Oct 17 Merw vs Şagadam 2-0
Sep 22 Merw vs Köpetdag … 3-1
Sep 17 Merw vs Ahal 0-0
Sep 11 Merw vs Arkadag 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Altyn Asyr in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Merw struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 11, 2025 Merw 0 - 0 Altyn Asyr Ýokary Liga
Apr 19, 2025 Merw 0 - 1 Altyn Asyr Ýokary Liga
Nov 17, 2024 Merw 1 - 0 Altyn Asyr Ýokary Liga
Aug 27, 2024 Altyn Asyr 5 - 0 Merw Ýokary Liga
May 25, 2024 Altyn Asyr 5 - 2 Merw Ýokary Liga
Apr 20, 2024 Merw 0 - 1 Altyn Asyr Ýokary Liga
Dec 24, 2023 Merw 1 - 1 Altyn Asyr Ýokary Liga
Nov 09, 2023 Altyn Asyr 1 - 0 Merw AFC Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Altyn Asyr to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Altyn Asyr Power 0
Merw Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.