AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Dec 25, 2025

Difai Ağsu

Home
VS
10:30

Cəbrayıl

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Difai Ağsu Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Cəbrayıl Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.09 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Difai Ağsu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Difai Ağsu Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-1
Dec 11 Difai Ağsu vs Səbail FK 3-0
Dec 04 Difai Ağsu vs Sumqayıt 1-3
Nov 27 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 1-2
Nov 22 Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku 1-1
Nov 06 Difai Ağsu vs Zaqatala 1-2
Oct 29 Difai Ağsu vs Xankəndi … 1-2
Oct 22 Difai Ağsu vs Şimal 1-4
Oct 16 Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ 1-2
Oct 03 Difai Ağsu vs Cəbrayıl 4-0
Cəbrayıl Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 0-1
Dec 10 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Nov 27 Cəbrayıl vs Səbail FK 0-2
Nov 20 Cəbrayıl vs Şimal 7-0
Nov 05 Cəbrayıl vs Baku Spor… 2-0
Oct 28 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 0-3
Oct 23 Cəbrayıl vs Şahdağ 3-1
Oct 16 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 4-1
Oct 03 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 4-0
Sep 24 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Difai Ağsu struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 03, 2025 Cəbrayıl 4 - 0 Difai Ağsu Birinci Dəstə
May 16, 2025 Difai Ağsu 1 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Mar 13, 2025 Cəbrayıl 0 - 4 Difai Ağsu Birinci Dəstə
Sep 12, 2024 Difai Ağsu 0 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Difai Ağsu Power 0
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Difai Ağsu Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Cəbrayıl Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.